基于HHM的火箭加注系统风险识别方法
任玉彬1,索相波2,贾宝林2,范玉珠2

(1.国防大学联合勤务学院,北京 100036; 2.酒泉卫星发射中心,甘肃 酒泉 732750)

航天发射场; 火箭加注系统; 风险识别; 等级全息建模; HHM风险识别框架

Risk identification method of rocket propellant loading system based on HHM framework
REN Yubin1,SUO Xiangbo2,JIA Baolin2,FAN Yuzhu2

(1.Joint Service College of National Defense University,Beijing 100036,China; 2.Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center, Jiuquan 732750, China)

space launch site; rocket propellant loading system; risk identification; hierarchical holographic model; HHM frame risk identification

备注

为开展全面有效的风险识别,针对航天发射场火箭加注系统的复杂性和特殊性,结合等级全息建模思想,设计了航天发射场火箭加注系统等级全息建模(HHM)风险识别框架。HHM风险识别框架从系统组成、功能区域、工作阶段和职能分工4个视角来描述火箭加注系统,框架中每一列代表一个风险识别视角,向下细分的树状结构表示火箭加注系统在该视角下的层级结构。HHM风险识别框架是一个开放的框架,框架中的视角和层级都可以根据火箭加注系统风险评估的实际需求进行拓展,使风险识别框架可以包含所有可能的风险场景。为说明使用HHM框架开展火箭加注系统风险识别的方法,在该HHM框架指导下对火箭加注系统部分场景开展了风险源识别和评估,给出了相应的风险等级、风险概率及风险指数。

In order to carry out comprehensive and effective risk identification, aiming at the complexity and particularity of rocket propellant loading system in space launch site, a risk identification framework of hierarchical holographic modeling(HHM)for rocket propellant loading system was designed combined with the idea of hierarchical holographic modeling.The HHM risk identification framework describes the rocket propellant loading system from four perspectivessuch as system composition, functional area, work stage and functional division.Each column in the framework represents a risk identification perspective, and the down subdivided tree structure represents the hierarchical structure of rocket propellant loading system under this perspective.The HHM framework can be used to identify risks according to the actual risk assessment framework.In order to illustrate the method of risk identification of rocket propellant loading system using HHM framework, the risk source identification and assessment of some scenarios of rocket propellant loading systemwere carried out under the guidance of HHM framework, and the corresponding risk level, risk probability and risk index were given.